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Luguentz Dort

Luguentz Dort Points
Player Prop - 4/12/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luguentz Dort has been on the court for 29.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • The matchup vs. New Orleans is a good one; when the Pelicans have the home court advantage, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs over the last 5 games (21.4).
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Pelicans have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luguentz Dort has attempted a mere 11.8 field goals per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 14.2 mark last year.
  • Luguentz Dort has successfully made just 1.8 three-point shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 2.6 rate last year.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Thunder.
  • Luguentz Dort will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decreases stat production for all stats.

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