Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's played in all games this season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Jazz have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost opportunities for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Jazz may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 5.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (30th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has attempted a lowly 11.9 shots from the field per game this year, significantly less than his 14.2 rate last year.
Luguentz Dort has converted a mere 1.9 three-pointers per game this season, significantly less than his 2.6 mark last season.
Luguentz Dort has been called for 4.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a challenging one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have shot for the 15th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (29.7%).

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