Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's converted from three overall this year while at home.
Luguentz Dort has played 30.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games on their home court.
The Suns have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to raise possessions for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The matchup against the Suns is a tough one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (14.3).
The matchup vs. Josh Okogie is a challenging one for shots from the field; when matched up against opposing starting SFs this year, they have successfully made a mere 43.6% of their field goal attempts (7th percentile).

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