Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 1:41 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has posted 22.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's posted in all games this year.
Luguentz Dort has sunk 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from three in all games this season away from home.
Luguentz Dort has averaged 32.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a challenging one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 13th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.1).
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.
Luguentz Dort will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production for all stats.

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