Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has scored 22.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's scored over the course of the season.
Luguentz Dort has made 3.6 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year away from his home court.
Luguentz Dort has tallied 32.1 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against Phoenix is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Suns are at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 14th-least 3-point shots per game in the NBA since the start of last season (1.1).
The Suns have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Thunder.
The Suns have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 23 games when the Suns are playing at home (4th-least in the NBA).