Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has posted 22.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's posted overall this year.
Luguentz Dort has attempted 9.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Luguentz Dort has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a hard one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (13.8).
The Jazz have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the league).

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