Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has averaged 22.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Luguentz Dort has attempted 9.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Luguentz Dort has tallied 32.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games while at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a hard one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (13.8).
The Jazz have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Thunder.
The matchup against the Jazz is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

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