Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has converted 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from three in all games this year.
Luguentz Dort has made 95.8% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.3% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year when playing on the road.
Luguentz Dort has been on the court for 29.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 77th percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to field goals.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA this year [ON_THE_ROAD_TEAM].

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).
The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for 3-pointers; on their home court, opposing teams have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate [IN_THE_LEAGUE] this year (38.1%).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season while playing on the road.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should reduce possessions for the Heat.
The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game this year (2nd-least in the league).

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