Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has made 2.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season when playing away from home.
Luguentz Dort has made 85.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 12.5% higher than he's converted overall this year without the home court advantage.
Luguentz Dort has tallied 29.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 76th percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league this year.
The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA since the start of last season on their home court, which should lead to increased possessions for the Magic.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The matchup against the Magic is a difficult one for three-point attempts; opposing squads have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (37.5).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
Luguentz Dort will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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