Luguentz Dort Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has converted 2.4 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.
The Thunder check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Atlanta Hawks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have put up the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (60.1%).
The Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort registers in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 3.0 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
The Hawks have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort will likely see a decline in efficiency across the board on account of playing away from home in this game.

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