Luguentz Dort Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has sunk 52.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 12.2% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.9 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).
Luguentz Dort will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SFs have totaled 1.3 threes per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, making this a difficult matchup.
The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-slowest tempo road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).
The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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