Luguentz Dort Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 32.1% rate, Luguentz Dort's 3-point efficiency has spiked this season to 41.8%.
In terms of 3-pointers, the Thunder's terrific 40.4% rate of sunk threes settles in as the highest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Timberwolves are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 25th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.5).
The 10th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to increase opportunities for the Thunder.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has attempted just 4.3 treys per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 5.6 rate last season.
Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort registers in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.9 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have grabbed 13.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (preserving possessions that can bring about additional chances for offense).
Luguentz Dort will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen stat production for all stats.