Luguentz Dort Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 10:07 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has sunk an impressive 42.3% of his 3-pointers this season, a big improvement over his 32.1 mark last season.
The Thunder have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on their home court this year.
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 21st-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league over the last 10 games when the 76ers have the home court advantage (2.0).
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
Luguentz Dort will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has attempted a measly 4.3 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit less than his 5.6 rate last season.
Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 7.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
When playing away from home, the Philadelphia 76ers have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).