Luguentz Dort Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 11:38 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort registers in the 83rd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc at home, logging 5.3 per game this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Thunder are expected to get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Hawks).
The Thunder check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 9.8 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hawks (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive team in the league while playing away from home over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing teams have averaged 36.9% on three-pointers (10th-highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a good matchup.
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 1.7 3-pointers per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Hawks, branding this as a difficult matchup.