Luguentz Dort Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 14, 2023

Updated Apr 14, 2023 4:41 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has played 30.0 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a positive one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 21st-highest three percentage in the league this year (35.2%).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has sunk a mere 1.9 shots from downtown per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 2.6 rate last season.
Luguentz Dort has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (98th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.