Luguentz Dort Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2023

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 12, 2023

Updated Apr 13, 2023 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-167/+127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +133 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has been on the court for 29.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup against New Orleans is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games when the Pelicans are at home (5.9).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has successfully made just 1.8 three-point shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 2.6 rate last year.
Luguentz Dort has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (98th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Thunder.
Luguentz Dort will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decreases stat production for all stats.