Luguentz Dort Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -220 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -225.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 6th-fastest pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).
Luguentz Dort will likely get a boost in output across the board on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Rockets have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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