Luguentz Dort Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 11:17 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-225).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +180 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 9th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Thunder.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should raise possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Pistons have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort places in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 3.1 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Luguentz Dort will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production for all stats.

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