Luguentz Dort Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-215).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -205 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -215.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Thunder.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).
The Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production across the board.

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