Luguentz Dort Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 12, 2023

Updated Apr 13, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has been on the court for 29.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (98th percentile).
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Thunder.
Luguentz Dort will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decreases stat production for all stats.

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