Luguentz Dort Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has tallied 2.8 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
Luguentz Dort has tallied 32.2 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Warriors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Warriors have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should reduce opportunities for the Thunder.

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