Luguentz Dort Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-182/+139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -182.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has averaged 2.8 assists per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home.
Luguentz Dort has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Jazz have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.

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