Lonzo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 5, 2025

Updated Dec 6, 2025 4:39 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against San Antonio is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the San Antonio Spurs are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (48.4%).
The Spurs have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
The matchup against the Spurs may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Cleveland Cavaliers's unimpressive 115.7 points per game playing at home comes in as the 9th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.

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