Lonzo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 12, 2025

Updated Nov 13, 2025 4:54 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).
The 4th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from facing the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out best in in the league with 16.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Heat may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Cavaliers's feeble 45.7% field goal percentage measures as the 9th-weakest in the NBA this year.

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