Lonzo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has attempted 6.7 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Lonzo Ball has played 27.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.7 higher than he's played overall this season at home.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games as the home team.
The Chicago Bulls will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 15 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Favors Under

The matchup against Toronto is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Toronto Raptors are on the road, opposing starting PGs have shot for the lowest three percentage in the league this year (23.6%).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Bulls grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup vs. Toronto may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Raptors are away from home (5th-least in the league).

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