Lonzo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 24, 2025

Updated Feb 25, 2025 4:54 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has attempted 7.0 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Lonzo Ball has averaged 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
Lonzo Ball has converted 90.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 9.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The matchup against the 76ers is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (11.3).
The 76ers have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Chicago Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.5 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).
Lonzo Ball will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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