Lonzo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

New York Knicks vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 20, 2025

Updated Feb 21, 2025 4:44 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has attempted 6.9 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Lonzo Ball has tallied 26.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Bulls check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league as the visting team this year.
Lonzo Ball has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Favors Under

This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have shot 33.3% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).
The Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
Lonzo Ball will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production across the board.

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