Lonzo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 31, 2025

Updated Feb 1, 2025 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has attempted 7.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.
The Bulls are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Lonzo Ball has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.4% higher than he's made overall this year.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 3.1 three attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Raptors, labeling this as a hard matchup.
When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Bulls's unimpressive 18.4 free throws per game places worst in the NBA this year.
Lonzo Ball will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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