Lonzo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 29, 2025

Updated Jan 30, 2025 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has attempted 7.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
When it comes to offense, the Chicago Bulls's impressive 118.0 points per game while playing away from home rates 4th-best in the league this year.
The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
Lonzo Ball has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 23.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
Lonzo Ball will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to decrease player production across the board.

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