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Lonzo Ball

Lonzo Ball Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2025

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets

Lonzo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Lonzo Ball has sunk 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season at home.

In terms of shooting, the Bulls's excellent 116.4 points per game ranks 7th-highest in the NBA this year.

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Bulls.

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.7 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Lonzo Ball has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year.

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6).

The Bulls check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Lonzo Ball has successfully made 50.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 20.8% lower than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

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