Lonzo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 25, 2025

Updated Jan 26, 2025 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has converted 44.8% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 9.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season with the home court advantage.
Lonzo Ball has attempted 7.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Lonzo Ball has been on the court for 25.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
As it relates to offense, the Chicago Bulls's exceptional 116.9 points per game comes in as the 6th-highest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 46.2% on threes (4th-best in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, making this a positive matchup.

Favors Under

Lonzo Ball has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's committed overall this year.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA this year (the 76ers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 6thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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