Lonzo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 24, 2025 2:50 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has attempted 8.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Lonzo Ball has attempted 7.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Lonzo Ball has tallied 24.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Bulls have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.
The most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Chicago Bulls.

Favors Under

Lonzo Ball has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Warriors is a challenging one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SGs have posted the 2nd-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (38.4%).
The Warriors have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Bulls.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 5thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Lonzo Ball stands to suffer a drop-off in performance across the board due to being on the road in this game.

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