Lonzo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has made 39.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.0% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season at home.
The Bulls rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Lonzo Ball should see a rise in production in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Lonzo Ball comes in at the 14th percentile for shooting performance with the home court advantage with a poor 34.5% rate this year.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Lonzo Ball registers in the 24th percentile for drawing fouls, putting up just 0.6 foul shots per game at home this year.

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