Lonzo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Washington Wizards vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to scoring, the Bulls's remarkable 125.2 points per game away from their home court places 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Wizards have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Chicago Bulls.
Lonzo Ball has attempted and missed 0.1 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 21st percentile for misses .

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Lonzo Ball slots into the 25th percentile for shots made when playing away from home, tallying a lowly 1.7 per game this year.
Lonzo Ball has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this season.
The Bulls check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Lonzo Ball will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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