Lonzo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Boston Celtics · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 3:30 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Lonzo Ball registers in the 94th percentile for 3-point performance with a superb 42.5% rate since the start of last season.
The Bulls check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA this year.
Lonzo Ball will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Lonzo Ball has converted 16.7% of his shot attempts from the field playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Celtics have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bulls grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Out of all players in the league, Lonzo Ball comes in at the 15th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, tallying a measly 0.0 foul shot attempts per game while at home since the start of last season.

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