Lonzo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Orlando Magic vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Lonzo Ball places in the 78th percentile for shooting efficiency away from home with an excellent 50.0% rate since the start of last season.
Lonzo Ball has converted 1.3 3-pointers per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The fastest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for scoring; the other team has put up the 28th-highest field goal rate in the NBA over the last 19 games (45.1%).
The Chicago Bulls are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Magic).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Out of all players in the league, Lonzo Ball lands in the 11th percentile for drawing fouls, totaling a mere 0.0 foul shots per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season.
Lonzo Ball will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player production in all facets of the game.

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