Lonzo Ball Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 22, 2025

Updated Feb 22, 2025 9:43 PM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has totaled 3.1 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard in recent days: 78th percentile.
Lonzo Ball has tallied 27.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home.
Lonzo Ball will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the 6th-slowest pace-of-play away offense in the league this year (the Suns).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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