Lonzo Ball Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Feb 4, 2025

Updated Feb 5, 2025 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has totaled 3.6 assists per game this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's hottest by this metric over this stretch of games.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Chicago Bulls.
Lonzo Ball will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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