Lonzo Ball Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has averaged 3.7 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard in recent games.
The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Bulls.
Lonzo Ball should see an increase in efficiency in all facets of the game considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Lonzo Ball has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Bulls check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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