Lonzo Ball Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 25, 2025

Updated Jan 26, 2025 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has averaged 3.7 assists per game this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch of games.
Lonzo Ball has been on the court for 25.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
Lonzo Ball will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

Lonzo Ball has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's committed overall this year.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA this year (the 76ers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 6thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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