Lonzo Ball Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has posted 3.7 assists per game this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric recently.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Lonzo Ball should see a rise in production in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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