Lonzo Ball Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has posted 4.7 assists per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Wizards have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Chicago Bulls.

Favors Under

Lonzo Ball has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this season.
The Bulls check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Lonzo Ball will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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