Lonzo Ball Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2024

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 30, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 11:44 PM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has put up 4.6 assists per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls will likely see a decline in plays today from facing the 2nd-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
The Chicago Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Lonzo Ball will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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