Lonzo Ball Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has totaled 3.6 assists per game this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's best by this standard over this stretch of games.
Among all players in the NBA, Lonzo Ball lands in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a measly 1.2 fouls per game this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Lonzo Ball will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The Bulls will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks).
The Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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