Lonzo Ball Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2024

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 16, 2024

Updated Dec 17, 2024 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has tallied 4.3 assists per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league this year.
The Bulls are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bulls rank 3rdworst in in the league with only 7.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Lonzo Ball will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player production across the board.

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