Lonzo Ball Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/6/2024

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Lonzo Ball

NBA · Player Props

Lonzo Ball

G · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 6, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Lonzo Ball Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lonzo Ball has posted 3.5 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 84th percentile.
The speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Bulls.
The Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to more plays for the Bulls.
Lonzo Ball will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Indiana Pacers have given up the 27th-most offensive boards per game (10.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 23 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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