LeBron James Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has averaged 6.4 defensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's best in this category over this stretch of games: 95th percentile.
LeBron James has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile.
LeBron James has accumulated 1.2 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 23rd percentile -- among the league's least-whistled.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on the road.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from facing the least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
When playing at home, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
LeBron James should suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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