LeBron James Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has put up 6.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 96th percentile.
LeBron James has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The 5th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace home team in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 0.0 rate, LeBron James's technical fouls have surged this season to 0.2 per game.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has captured 13.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (retaining possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).
LeBron James should experience a decrease in performance for all stats considering playing away from home in this game.

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