LeBron James Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/22/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · May 22, 2023

Updated May 23, 2023 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has posted 7.4 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the hottest players in the league by this standard over this stretch.
LeBron James has tallied 40.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.
LeBron James will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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