LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2026

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 19, 2026

Updated Mar 20, 2026 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shooting, the Los Angeles Lakers's fantastic 120.2 points per game ranks 6th-best in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Miami Heat are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have put up the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.4%).
The Miami Heat have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

LeBron James has logged a lowly 20.4 points per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 24.5 points per game last season.
The 3rd-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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